July 17, 2009 - Business Risks associated with Swine Flu (H1N1flu) or a Pandemic Flu

 
     
 
Update on July 17:
As of July 3, there have been 737 cases of swine flu (H1N1) reported in Brazil with two deaths
The following was about a month ago. The WHO has stated they will no long compile regular statistcs. Brazil is on the rise with reported cases as the flu season is upon us.
 
A Pandemic Is Declared

On June 11, 2009, the World Health Organization (WHO) signaled that a global pandemic of novel influenza A (H1N1) was underway by raising the worldwide pandemic alert level to Phase 6. This action was a reflection of the spread of the new H1N1 virus, not the severity of illness caused by the virus. At the time, more than 70 countries had reported cases of novel influenza A (H1N1) infection and there were ongoing community level outbreaks of novel H1N1 in multiple parts of the world.

Since the WHO declaration of a pandemic, the new H1N1 virus has continued to spread, with the number of countries reporting cases of novel H1N1 nearly doubling. The Southern Hemisphere’s regular influenza season has begun and countries there are reporting that the new H1N1 virus is spreading and causing illness along with regular seasonal influenza viruses. In the United States, significant novel H1N1 illness has continued into the summer, with localized and in some cases intense outbreaks occurring. The United States continues to report the largest number of novel H1N1 cases of any country worldwide, however, most people who have become ill have recovered without requiring medical treatment.

As of 18:00 GMT, 4 May 2009, 21 countries have officially reported 1085 cases and 25 deaths from influenza A (H1N1) infection . H1N1 Influenza (H1N1flu) is a respiratory disease of pigs caused by type A influenza viruses that causes regular outbreaks in pigs, thus the common name of Swine Flu.

It is prudent that businesses are prepared for the worse with an operational plan focused on the risks and solutions if this epidemic flu spreads and becomes a pandemic. Pandemic flu is virulent human flu that causes a global outbreak, or pandemic, of serious illness. Because there is little natural immunity, the disease can spread easily from person to person.

A worldwide influenza pandemic could have a major effect on the global economy, including oil & gas, travel, trade, tourism, food, consumption and eventually, investment and financial markets. Planning for pandemic influenza by business and industry is essential to minimizing its impact on your business, workers and family. Companies that provide critical infrastructure services, such as health, power and telecommunications, also have a special responsibility to plan for continued operation in a crisis and should plan accordingly. As with any catastrophe, having a well-conceived, contingency plan is essential to dealing with a crisis.

The United States Congressional Budget Office (CBO) assessment of possible economic effects of a flu pandemic concludes that a pandemic involving a highly virulent flu strain (such as the one that caused the pandemic in 1918 that killed more people than were killed in World War I, somewhere between 20 and 40 million) could produce a short-run impact on the worldwide economy similar in depth and duration to that of an average postwar recession in the United States. That means billions of dollars lost.

The risk management & crisis operational plan needs to be sensitive to the human and family loss due to the outbreak, but also be able to mitigate the loss of revenue, loss of productivity, loss of man hours and distribute accurate communications to the employees and press.

An example would be in the area of international travel. Is it prudent and necessary to avoid international travel? What are the World Health Organization (WHO) and Center for Disease Control (CDC) positions on travel? What countries are affected? What countries are likely to be affected? What should the employee do if they are quarantined? Will your flight be arriving at the same time and terminal as a flight from Mexico? How would this affect product shipping or off-shore businesses requiring specialized transport? How can a company reduce the impact and deal with the impact of an international pandemic?

Total Security Solutions (TSS) is a professional services firm specializing in the convergence of technology, risk and management, with specialists in the safety of corporations, projects, and executives. We provide planning, design, consulting, process, training, management (process, claims, insurance, project), and implementation services to corporate leaders and assist in the integration of physical, electronic and cyber security products, techniques and services. Our proficiency includes the design & construction industry, oil & gas, energy, logistics and high net worth.

At TSS we assist companies avoid and manage risk in the real world. We develop risk management plans and operational plans, and provide advanced consulting and analysis of your unique requirements and strategies in the international market. Contact us today. Jonathan Kendall in the USA at jonathan@ProtecaoTotal.com and Pat McDonnell in Brazil at pat@ProtecaoTotal.com. www.totalsecurity.solutions.com.br

 
 
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